This paper will go through the rudiments
of PERT. Warning - PERT is not for everyone, nor is it intended for use on all
projects. Therefore the schedulers should use PERT with extreme caution. PERT
is a statistical technique applied to a network schedule. PERT was an outgrowth
from Set Back charts used in Line of Balance methodology
(remember the U.S. Navy had a large size oar in the establishment of LoB)
and CPM.
RESOURCE LEVELING
In the Government contracting environment the first attempt
at resource leveling generally is accomplished during the proposal preparation
phase. Unfortunately this is also the last time it is attempted.
If the customer asked for, by contract clause, a full CPM/PERT schedule to be
monitored, status, and reported against and a validated application of the C/SC
(Cost/Schedule Control) system to the project - resign - you are faced with a
dilemma trying to accomplish both requirements. Here's why:
- C/SC brings a requirements for a firm fixed baseline changeable
only by formal work scope change.
- CPM and/or PERT require a moving schedule to properly status,
and monitor key milestone dates and accurately predict key completion dates.
- In order to satisfy both management techniques a dominate
- subordinate order should be selected. If it is not selected, then during
the evolution of the project; one of the two methods will become dominant.
You cannot correctly manage a project with two sets of baselines.
SCHEDULE BASELINE DEVELOPMENT
- Define General Scope
- Develop Master Schedule
- Develop Detailed Scope
- Assign Responsibility to Individual Activities
- Develop Detailed Network Logic
- Establish Activity Durations and Lead Times
- Solve CPM Logic to Determine Start vs. Complete Dates
- Verify Consistency of Schedule at Different Levels and Revise
Logic if Necessary
- Load Resources at Activity Level
- Make CPM Schedule with No Resources or End Date Restrictions
- Define Priorities for Resource Leveling
- Resource Level Schedule
- Team Review of CPM for:
- Inclusion of All Work Products
- Responsibility Assignments
- Logic Restraints
- Resource Plan Practicality
- Revise as Necessary
- Approve Schedule Baseline
SCHEDULE BASELINE REVISIONS
The Approved Baseline Schedule should be revised only:
- When approved scope changes impact the schedule
- If Project is delayed or accelerated or other customer
direction is received.
- When unrecoverable slippage has occurred (this example
is the least desirable and the one which should be used with the greatest
caution).
A conflict which invariably exists and is difficult to
resolve is how to measure schedule status. For network analysis to be useful,
it must always reflect the latest available information. On the other hand, "latest
status" varies each reposing period, and it is not possible to do meaningful
trending against a constantly changing target.
The key to resolving this dilemma is to understand the difference between
status and performance determination. A CPM network can and should be used to
provide current status information and forecast completion dates of all future
key milestones. However, it should not be used for measuring schedule performance.
For schedule performance to have any meaning, it must be measured against a set
technical baseline plan.
DIRECTED DATE
A directed date is a specified date which is frozen in the
schedule. "Not earlier than" means that an activity can start no earlier
than the specified date, even if the network solution would allow it to start
earlier. This type of directed dates supersedes the network solution on the forward
pass only. Directed dates are normally specified by the customer, Senior Corporate
Management, the Project Manager, or the Functional Manager. Directed dates normally
result from the desire to integrate selected items both internally and externally
to the project.
This discussion does not mean to imply that direct dates have no valid application.
Any major milestones which must be fixed should have imposed target dates. This
will also help assure schedule consistency for traceable milestones on successive
reports. But there are other valid reasons for using directed dates besides using
them to freezes major milestones. In come cases, a not later than date should
be imposed to assure that the activity is accomplished during the necessary time
frame.
Copyright © 2024, 2025 Valuation Opinions, Inc.
|